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Prediction markets
57 active markets
· category “Trump”
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Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Kevin Warsh
99%
Judy Shelton
1%
33 more
$64.5M
Vol.
Oct 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
65 trading now
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
2%
chance
Yes
No
$462K
Vol.
Jul 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
57 trading now
How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?
No vote by Dec 31/Withdrawn
1%
Yes
No
≤49
1%
Yes
No
$242K
Vol.
Dec 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
45 trading now
Trump out as President by July 31?
1%
chance
Yes
No
$267K
Vol.
Jul 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
43 trading now
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
US x Iran Ceasefire
99%
New Supreme Leader of Iran
99%
2 more
$736K
Vol.
Oct 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
56 trading now
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
July 1
99%
July 3
99%
29 more
$82K
Vol.
Jul 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
50 trading now
Who will Trump meet with in July?
Keir Starmer
96%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
95%
10 more
$43K
Vol.
Jul 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
55 trading now
Claude Fable 5 restored for International customers by…?
September 30
99%
December 31
99%
1 more
$20K
Vol.
Dec 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
53 trading now
What will Trump say during his remarks at Mount Rushmore?
Statue / Liberty
99%
Hell
99%
25 more
$13K
Vol.
Jul 4
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
51 trading now
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
3%
chance
Yes
No
$842K
Vol.
Jul 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
50 trading now
Marco Rubio visits China by...?
1%
chance
Yes
No
$95K
Vol.
Dec 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
53 trading now
Who will Trump speak to in July?
Mark Rutte
98%
Emmanuel Macron
98%
20 more
$41K
Vol.
Jul 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
45 trading now
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