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Prediction markets

11 active markets · category “Science”

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Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Jacob Tsimerman
Jacob Tsimerman87%
Hong Wang
Hong Wang83%9 more
$562KVol. Jul 30science
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes June 29 - July 5?

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes June 29 - July 5?

≤8
1%YesNo
9
13%YesNo
$10KVol. Jul 5science
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes June 29 - July 5?

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes June 29 - July 5?

0
83%YesNo
1
15%YesNo
$8.8KVol. Jul 5science
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

October 31
October 3156%
August 30
August 3055%2 more
$1.4KVol. Jan 1science
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 6 - July 12?

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 6 - July 12?

0
45%YesNo
1
31%YesNo
$997.49Vol. Jul 12science
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?

Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?

5%

chance

YesNo
$13KVol. Dec 31science
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 6 - July 12?

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 6 - July 12?

≤8
50%YesNo
9
12%YesNo
$211.63Vol. Jul 12science
July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

1.20–1.24ºC43%
1.15–1.19ºC40%4 more
$1.2KVol. Aug 1science
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

14%

chance

YesNo
$575KVol. Dec 31science
How many Tornadoes in the US in July?

How many Tornadoes in the US in July?

<10036%
130–15930%7 more
$900.01Vol. Aug 1science
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

6%

chance

YesNo
$116KVol. Mar 31science